Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 7.404335 8.463294 9.633381 11.024375 12.635817 14.447331 16.642892
2025-06-22 6.011907 7.390474 9.037779 11.159630 13.832378 17.103082 21.432889
2025-06-29 5.090581 6.592890 8.492230 11.085979 14.560923 19.090729 25.500109
2025-07-06 4.417000 5.965301 8.013927 10.947838 15.082503 20.761747 29.257384
2025-07-13 4.066128 5.697843 7.945435 11.303547 16.255659 23.386836 34.609308
2025-07-20 3.753965 5.434531 7.833322 11.555209 17.271684 25.862332 40.020058
2025-07-27 3.543418 5.285909 7.856257 11.986694 18.576551 28.885045 46.632918
2025-08-03 3.193695 4.888528 7.460402 11.720725 18.746523 30.129644 50.497117
2025-08-10 2.918604 4.576043 7.158639 11.560486 19.049920 31.594963 54.881478
2025-08-17 2.683442 4.302602 6.888738 11.416207 19.349530 33.063845 59.427794
2025-08-24 2.471065 4.045623 6.619294 11.239492 19.562912 34.387335 63.850388
2025-08-31 2.276491 3.800447 6.345872 11.024485 19.676593 35.528357 68.048857
2025-09-07 2.214381 3.777593 6.452129 11.499278 21.110686 39.289527 77.947831
2025-09-14 2.100000 3.653400 6.369840 11.620727 21.892313 41.897072 85.875345
2025-09-21 1.967063 3.484382 6.191659 11.542414 22.273580 43.751674 92.461742
2025-09-28 1.837791 3.311120 5.990281 11.398008 22.503327 45.316347 98.620352
2025-10-05 1.787697 3.280151 6.050117 11.769620 23.820692 49.287924 110.767572
2025-10-12 1.727170 3.224103 6.056568 12.032564 24.935706 52.952268 122.740720
2025-10-19 1.692233 3.214198 6.150800 12.483441 26.501145 57.791946 138.287754
2025-10-26 1.579438 3.042412 5.910231 12.205512 26.426419 58.898798 144.678241
2025-11-02 1.487401 2.905351 5.728978 12.038077 26.582456 60.557225 152.733565
2025-11-09 1.404209 2.780194 5.562439 11.887328 26.760138 62.285032 161.233155
2025-11-16 1.324111 2.655710 5.387878 11.702696 26.837988 63.776243 169.316038